We are boxed in by bonds and the chancellor’s promises

Simon Rawlinson New

Jeremy Hunt’s success in calming financial markets with the autumn statement leaves a lot of unanswered questions observes Simon Rawlinson of Arcadis

Jeremy Hunt set out to achieve three overriding but conflicting goals as he presented his 2023 autumn statement last month. The obvious takeaway was the rabbit from the hat, the unexpectedly high cuts in national insurance rates, which highlighted that his immediate and most important objective was to create election-winning momentum.

By contrast, a blizzard of incremental business-friendly measures, including the extension of full expensing, demonstrated the limited resources available to the UK to drive growth. Finally, an improbable projection of tight growth in spending, right through to 2028/29, aimed to keep the bond markets on side by demonstrating ruthless fiscal discipline.

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